Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 7.990666 9.265552 10.638282 12.221506 13.992198 15.906597 18.127815
2025-12-14 6.253659 7.957155 9.927597 12.356777 15.251220 18.569374 22.639383
2025-12-21 5.149069 7.046706 9.366489 12.373216 16.125970 20.612243 26.333511
2025-12-28 4.502443 6.550966 9.172790 12.712172 17.296160 22.958961 30.400611
2026-01-04 3.966222 6.101980 8.950797 12.937643 18.270057 25.045492 34.178461
2026-01-11 3.475918 5.639657 8.640430 12.982541 18.963445 26.758285 37.506273
2026-01-18 2.949212 5.052010 8.085292 12.622633 19.055293 27.647673 39.755700
2026-01-25 2.534125 4.574187 7.629491 12.344563 19.210244 28.590043 42.070956
2026-02-01 2.174442 4.134678 7.180876 12.026280 19.264635 29.366990 44.157801
2026-02-08 1.874984 3.753261 6.779306 11.734927 19.320374 30.122163 46.212903
2026-02-15 1.603605 3.383079 6.356409 11.369166 19.228305 30.641497 47.929942
2026-02-22 1.453138 3.206979 6.229703 11.451385 19.802640 32.127725 51.054416
2026-03-01 1.309139 3.027055 6.083345 11.494810 20.323971 33.565079 54.174884
2026-03-08 1.194182 2.887706 5.992975 11.620144 20.973427 35.210101 57.646135
2026-03-15 1.076190 2.726019 5.846421 11.635663 21.439814 36.585259 60.749103
2026-03-22 1.012133 2.666949 5.879596 11.958056 22.412192 38.759147 65.103448
2026-03-29 0.940247 2.581368 5.854431 12.172556 23.210308 40.682426 69.125257
2026-04-05 0.855368 2.455127 5.739295 12.215273 23.716957 42.158340 72.496022
2026-04-12 0.739030 2.238797 5.426430 11.872883 23.546396 42.545587 74.184562
2026-04-19 0.644330 2.058381 5.167071 11.608410 23.490072 43.103564 76.142125
2026-04-26 0.557588 1.882725 4.899141 11.305756 23.345577 43.503756 77.849797
2026-05-03 0.483337 1.726003 4.654753 11.028776 23.227424 43.934295 79.606215
2026-05-10 0.413019 1.566179 4.385887 10.681149 22.958440 44.095652 80.921848